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BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI)

Technology Out of favour

BigBear.ai uses artificial intelligence to help businesses and government agencies make sense of complex data to predict future outcomes.

$2.79

Is BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. a good stock for a UK beginner?

The honest version: BigBear.ai uses artificial intelligence to help businesses and government agencies make sense of complex data to predict future outcomes.

No rating · no target price · nothing for sale here
Price+99.3%
Priced in USD - as a UK investor your £ return also moves with the pound-to-dollar exchange rate, on top of the share price itself.
52-week range-62% past year
$2.79
Low $2.59High $9.39
Where today's price sits versus its past year - context, not a signal.
If you had put $1,000 into BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.
$1,993+99%

Over about 2 years to 2026-07-31. This is the share price only; any dividends would add to it. And it's the USD return - as a UK investor your actual £ return also moves with the exchange rate. Past performance is not a guide to the future, and it could just as easily have fallen.

Market cap: The company's total value on the stock market - share price times the number of shares. Big = 'large-cap', small = 'small-cap'.
$1.34B
Avg volume: How many shares change hands on a typical day. Higher means it's easy to buy or exit without moving the price.
36.73M
Day range: The lowest and highest price the shares traded at during the latest day.
$2.67 – $3.00
52-week range: The lowest and highest the shares have traded over the past year - a sense of how wide the swings have been.
$2.59 – $9.39
Dividend yield: The yearly dividend as a percentage of the share price - roughly the income you'd earn from dividends alone.
0.0%
Why has it been moving?▲ +0% past week · ▼ -62% past year

Prices move on results, news and the mood of the whole market - no single headline explains a day, and a quiet week is usually just noise, not a signal.

The bull case

The company becomes a key player in the AI infrastructure space.

The bear case

Failure to compete with larger, better-funded tech giants.

What does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. do?

BigBear.ai builds software that crunches massive amounts of data to help its clients spot patterns and make better decisions. They primarily make money through long-term contracts with government bodies and large commercial organisations. Whether they can turn their high-tech ideas into consistent profits is the crux, since they currently spend more than they earn.

VQGMI
Factor profile

On our factor screen it looks strongest on value and growth, and weakest on momentum.

Value: How cheap the stock looks versus profits, sales and assets (higher = cheaper). 70Quality: How profitable and financially healthy the company is (higher = stronger). 32Growth: How fast revenue and earnings are growing (higher = faster). 62Momentum: How the share price has been trending recently (higher = stronger recent run). 2Income: The dividend income on offer and how sustainable it looks (higher = more/steadier). 16
Quick checks
What's strong
  • Value screens high (70/100)
  • Strong focus on high-demand AI and data analytics
  • Established relationships with government clients
  • Specialised technology that is difficult to replicate
What to watch
  • Momentum screens low (2/100)
  • Income screens low (16/100)
  • Potential need to raise more cash if losses continue
  • Heavy reliance on government spending cycles
  • Intense competition from much larger technology firms

What do BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s numbers mean?

P/S
11.8
This shows how much investors are paying for every pound of the company's sales, suggesting high expectations for future growth.
Beta
3.1
A beta this high means the share price tends to swing much more wildly than the wider stock market.

How much money does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. make?

Revenue and profit by quarter, and how much of each sale turns into profit.

RevenueNet income
$0$9.19M$18.37M$27.56M$36.75MQ2 25Q3 25Q4 25Q1 26Q2 26
Gross margin
27.9%
Net margin
-65.2%
Return on equity
-16.6%

Does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. pay a dividend?

No - BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. doesn't currently pay a dividend, so the whole return would rest on the share price. Plenty of growing companies reinvest their profits instead of paying them out - neither approach is better or worse, they're just different.

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What are the scenarios for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.?

An illustrative range for the year ahead, with the assumption behind each case — not a prediction or a price target.

$9$3$1today · $3▲ Bull · $3• Base · $3▼ Bear · $2in 1 yearILLUSTRATIVE · NOT A PREDICTION OR PRICE TARGET
Bull
+15% to +25%New government contract wins boost investor sentiment.
Base
-5% to +5%Steady performance with no major news.
Bear
-15% to -30%Increased cash burn concerns spook the market.

What are the pros and cons of BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.?

3bull points
6bear points

How many points the write-up makes each way — a balance check, not a score or verdict.

The bull case3
  • Strong focus on high-demand AI and data analytics
  • Established relationships with government clients
  • Specialised technology that is difficult to replicate
The catch3
  • Significant ongoing financial losses
  • High share price volatility
  • Stagnant revenue growth in a fast-moving sector
Key risks3
  • Potential need to raise more cash if losses continue
  • Heavy reliance on government spending cycles
  • Intense competition from much larger technology firms
What would flip the thesis

The write-up's own warning lights — if these start happening, the case above changes.

Confidence: low · data: USD · flags: pe, earnings_growth · Charts by TradingView Lightweight Charts™
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Built from public filings & market prices, checked for an education-only tone, and never a price target. How we make these →

This plain-English summary was auto-generated on 2026-08-01 from public data and checked for an education-only, no-advice tone (the figures above carry their own, usually fresher, 'as of' date). It's information, never a recommendation.

Figures as of 2026-08-01. Prices may be delayed and numbers can go stale - always double-check before acting.