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Novavax, Inc. (NVAX)

Healthcare Out of favour

Novavax is a biotechnology company that develops vaccines to protect against infectious diseases like COVID-19 and seasonal flu.

$7.32

Is Novavax, Inc. a good stock for a UK beginner?

The honest version: Novavax is a biotechnology company that develops vaccines to protect against infectious diseases like COVID-19 and seasonal flu.

No rating · no target price · nothing for sale here
Price-41.8%
Priced in USD - as a UK investor your £ return also moves with the pound-to-dollar exchange rate, on top of the share price itself.
52-week range+4% past year
$7.32
Low $6.20High $11.97
Where today's price sits versus its past year - context, not a signal.
If you had put $1,000 into Novavax, Inc.
$582-42%

Over about 2 years to 2026-07-31. This is the share price only; any dividends would add to it. And it's the USD return - as a UK investor your actual £ return also moves with the exchange rate. Past performance is not a guide to the future, and it could just as easily have fallen.

Market cap: The company's total value on the stock market - share price times the number of shares. Big = 'large-cap', small = 'small-cap'.
$1.20B
Avg volume: How many shares change hands on a typical day. Higher means it's easy to buy or exit without moving the price.
4.78M
Day range: The lowest and highest price the shares traded at during the latest day.
$7.22 – $7.49
52-week range: The lowest and highest the shares have traded over the past year - a sense of how wide the swings have been.
$6.20 – $11.97
Dividend yield: The yearly dividend as a percentage of the share price - roughly the income you'd earn from dividends alone.
0.0%
Beta: How bumpy the share price is versus the whole market. Above 1 swings more than the market; below 1 is calmer. It's about the ride, not whether it goes up or down.
2.43
How bumpy is it?Beta: How bumpy the share price is versus the whole market. Above 1 swings more than the market; below 1 is calmer. It's about the ride, not whether it goes up or down. 2.43
Calm
Wild
Bumpier than the market

Based on beta - how much the price swings versus the whole market. Bumpier isn't bad; it just means a rougher ride, which matters more the sooner you might need the money.

Why has it been moving?▼ -5% past week · ▲ +4% past year

Prices move on results, news and the mood of the whole market - no single headline explains a day, and a quiet week is usually just noise, not a signal.

The bull case

The company establishes itself as a reliable player in the seasonal vaccine market.

The bear case

The company runs out of cash or fails to compete with larger pharmaceutical rivals.

What does Novavax, Inc. do?

Novavax focuses on creating vaccines using a unique protein-based technology that helps the body recognise and fight off viruses. Revenue comes from supplying these vaccines to governments and health organisations around the world. How smoothly they pivot from their pandemic-era products to their new, combined flu and COVID-19 vaccine candidates is what really matters here.

VQGMI
Factor profile

On our factor screen it looks strongest on value and momentum, and weakest on growth.

Value: How cheap the stock looks versus profits, sales and assets (higher = cheaper). 78Quality: How profitable and financially healthy the company is (higher = stronger). 14Growth: How fast revenue and earnings are growing (higher = faster). 0Momentum: How the share price has been trending recently (higher = stronger recent run). 20Income: The dividend income on offer and how sustainable it looks (higher = more/steadier). 16
Quick checks
What's strong
  • Value screens high (78/100)
  • Specialised expertise in protein-based vaccine technology
  • Potential for a combined flu and COVID-19 vaccine
  • Established infrastructure for vaccine manufacturing
What to watch
  • Quality screens low (14/100)
  • Growth screens low (0/100)
  • Momentum screens low (20/100)
  • Income screens low (16/100)
  • Heavy reliance on a small number of products

What do Novavax, Inc.'s numbers mean?

P/S
2.3
This compares the company's total market value to its annual sales, showing how much investors are paying for every pound of revenue generated.
Net margin
-14.7%
This shows the company is currently spending more money on operations than it is bringing in from sales, resulting in a loss.
Revenue growth
-79.1%
This indicates a significant drop in sales compared to the previous year, largely due to the cooling demand for COVID-19 vaccines.
Beta
2.4
A number above 1 means the share price tends to swing much more wildly than the wider stock market.

How much money does Novavax, Inc. make?

Revenue and profit by quarter, and how much of each sale turns into profit.

RevenueNet income
$0$166.66M$333.33M$499.99M$666.65MQ1 25Q2 25Q3 25Q4 25Q1 26
Gross margin
27.5%
Net margin
-14.7%

Does Novavax, Inc. pay a dividend?

No - Novavax, Inc. doesn't currently pay a dividend, so the whole return would rest on the share price. Plenty of growing companies reinvest their profits instead of paying them out - neither approach is better or worse, they're just different.

More in Healthcare

Eli LillyWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc.Incyte CorporationThe Cigna GroupZimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc.Moderna, Inc.Gilead Sciences, Inc.Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

What are the scenarios for Novavax, Inc.?

An illustrative range for the year ahead, with the assumption behind each case — not a prediction or a price target.

$11$7$5today · $7▲ Bull · $9• Base · $7▼ Bear · $6in 1 yearILLUSTRATIVE · NOT A PREDICTION OR PRICE TARGET
Bull
+15% to +25%Positive clinical trial results for new vaccine combinations.
Base
-5% to +5%Steady operational progress with no major news.
Bear
-15% to -30%Regulatory delays or failure to secure new supply contracts.

What are the pros and cons of Novavax, Inc.?

3bull points
6bear points

How many points the write-up makes each way — a balance check, not a score or verdict.

The bull case3
  • Specialised expertise in protein-based vaccine technology
  • Potential for a combined flu and COVID-19 vaccine
  • Established infrastructure for vaccine manufacturing
The catch3
  • Significant decline in recent revenue
  • Currently operating at a loss
  • High share price volatility
Key risks3
  • Heavy reliance on a small number of products
  • Intense competition from much larger pharmaceutical companies
  • Uncertainty regarding future government vaccine procurement
What would flip the thesis

The write-up's own warning lights — if these start happening, the case above changes.

Confidence: medium · data: USD · flags: pe, roe, earnings_growth · Charts by TradingView Lightweight Charts™
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Built from public filings & market prices, checked for an education-only tone, and never a price target. How we make these →

This plain-English summary was auto-generated on 2026-08-01 from public data and checked for an education-only, no-advice tone (the figures above carry their own, usually fresher, 'as of' date). It's information, never a recommendation.

Figures as of 2026-08-01. Prices may be delayed and numbers can go stale - always double-check before acting.